In a previous report, we discussed how important Michigan was for Harris and the problems she is having, but that is not the only blue wall state where Harris is having problems.
Pennsylvania is suddenly back in play, and if Harris loses both of these states, she has virtually no path to win.
With things going sideways, even Senator Bob Casey (D-PA) is starting to distance himself from Harris’ campaign.
Big Mo
Campaigns are all about momentum, and Trump, despite the media’s efforts to derail him, has it all.
It’s so bad, Casey recently openly stated that he backed some of Trump’s policies, hoping to lure in the moderate voters.
His opponent, Dave McCormick, was down double digits at one point, and now he is in a dead heat with Casey.
The Cook Political Report considers the race a toss-up after it being Democrat or leaning Democrat for most of this election.
The lack of enthusiasm for Harris is starting to impact other down-ballot races as well.
Take a look at Montana where incumbent Senator Jon Tester, who also had a monster lead at one point, is now down eight points to Tim Sheehy.
Republicans may also be on the road to flip a Senate seat in Wisconsin, with Senator Baldwin (D-W) now only up one point in the most recent polls.
Former pollster for Bill Clinton, Doug Schoen, stated, “The so-called blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania is eroding for the Democrats.
“There is a level of disorganization on the ground and incoherence vis-à-vis the messaging that is clear.”
If the GOP flips all these seats, it will most assuredly have the majority, but the shame of it is that we have candidates like Kari Lake who are going to lose seats we easily should have won.
This party has to learn to put the right people on the ballot in moderate states. They may not back every policy, and the party needs to live with that if we want to hold the power and have enough seats to pass meaningful legislation.
