There is a little something brewing in polls over the last few weeks, and it would appear that it is all good news for Donald Trump.
Polling experts are convinced that Donald Trump is underperforming in polling, and for good reason.
With the polling so close headed into election day, this likely points to a Trump win.
Not Sayin a Word
First and foremost, you have to look at the huge boost in Republican voter registration across the country.
Then there is the known fact that many Trump supporters will not confirm their support until they walk into a voting booth.
Even when they are being polled, for some reason, unless they are MAGA, they just don’t want people to know they are supporting Trump.
The New York Times’ chief political analyst Nate Cohn believes that is what we are seeing again during this election cycle.
He explained, “Four years ago, the polls were thought to underestimate Mr. Trump because of nonresponse bias — in which his supporters were less likely to take surveys than demographically similar Biden supporters.
“Across these final polls, white Democrats were 16 percent likelier to respond than white Republicans.
“It raises the possibility that the polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again. We do a lot to account for this, but in the end there are no guarantees.”
He concluded, “Usually, the final polls point toward a relatively clear favorite, even if that candidate doesn’t go on to win. This will not be one of those elections.”
That is exactly why I don’t believe that Kamala Harris cannot sweep the blue wall states. If she cannot do that, she likely has no real path unless she pulls a massive upset in what would normally be considered a red state.
I am going to call this one for Trump, but I would expect that it will not be confirmed because both PA and MI expect to have delays in confirming their ballot totals.
