The election of 2022 was close and controversial for Representative Lauren Boebert, who barely won her seat in Congress after a long recount.
Now that the dust has settled, she prepares to face an even tougher race in 2024, as the district she represents has been redrawn to make it more of a toss-up.
Even more concerning is the fact that her challenger Adam Frisch outraised her campaign significantly in both the first and second quarters of this year.
As David Wasserman from Cook Political Report noted, Boebert’s strong conservative views have not made it easier for her to appeal to moderate voters or encourage donations from outside sources.
As such, while Frisch raised over $2.6 million during the second quarter alone (more than three times what Boebert raised), national Republican groups are unlikely to provide much support and will instead focus on painting him as a “ limousine liberal” from the Western Slope.
The success of either candidate may come down to those who abstained from voting in 2022 midterms.
According to Wasserman’s analysis these tend to lean independent and could be open to Donald Trump’s message despite his checkered past with some Republicans – though only time will tell if they are swayed by his rhetoric or turn away from it entirely.
It is also worth noting that Rep. Boebert recently proposed a plan which would involve drug testing everyone at the White House until they can identify who brought cocaine into Biden’s office earlier this month – something which could further alienate potential voters if not handled correctly in terms of messaging.